Value management of diagnostic equipment with cancelation,no‐show,and emergency patients

Magnetic resonance imaging and other multifunctional diagnostic facilities, which are considered as scarce resources of hospitals, typically provide services to patients with different medical needs. This article examines the admission policies during the appointment management of such facilities. We consider two categories of patients: regular patients who are scheduled in advance through an appointment system and emergency patients with randomly generated demands during the workday that must be served as soon as possible. According to the actual medical needs of patients, regular patients are segmented into multiple classes with different cancelation rates, no‐show probabilities, unit value contributions, and average service times. Management makes admission decisions on whether or not to accept a service request from a regular patient during the booking horizon to improve the overall value that could be generated during the workday. The decisions should be made by considering the cancelation and no‐show behavior of booked patients as well as the emergency patients that would have to be served because any overtime service would lead to higher costs. We studied the optimal admission decision using a continuous‐time discrete‐state dynamic programming model. Identifying an optimal policy for this discrete model is analytically intractable and numerically inefficient because the state is multidimensional and infinite. We propose to study a deterministic counterpart of the problem (i.e., the fluid control problem) and to develop a time‐based fluid policy that is shown to be asymptotically optimal for large‐scale problems. Furthermore, we propose to adopt a mixed fluid policy that is developed based on the information obtained from the fluid control problem. Numerical experiments demonstrate that this improved policy works effectively for small‐scale problems. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 287–304, 2016     

基于仿真和熵权的VOIP业务网络性能评价权重确定方法

针对目前网络性能评价中多元指标之间权重难以确定的问题,将信息熵理论应用于网络性能评价中.提出采用熵权方法确定指标权重,进而对网络性能进行评价的方法.为了获取反映不同网络状态的性能数据,采用网络仿真方法获得计算熵权所需的样本.实例表明,信息熵能够客观地反映各指标贡献信息量的大小,基于信息熵的熵权能够客观反映各指标的相对重要程度.     

基于多Agent的分布式防空战场资源管理研究

分布式防空战场资源管理是构建现代防空体系的核心问题。基于对分布式防空战场资源管理特点的分析,提出了基于多智能体(Agent)的分布式防空战场资源管理体系结构,并深入分析了该管理系统的组成和功能,为实现定性和定量相结合的防空战场资源管理的综合集成,提供了一条有效的途径。     

武器系统研制单位管理水平的贝叶斯评估分析

将Bayes理论应用于对武器系统研制单位管理水平的评估.克服了验前评估方法主观性大的缺陷,充分利用收集到的补充信息,对评估结果作了后验预分析,得到了更加可信的评估结论,从而改进了决策过程.     

加强高校预算管理的思考

预算管理是高校财务管理的核心，加强高校预算管理，能促进高校事业计划顺利完成，有效提高各项资金的使用效益。本文通过对高校预算管理的内容、特点及不足的分析，提出了加强高校预算管理的对策。     

Dynamic inventory management with cash flow constraints

In this article, we consider a classic dynamic inventory control problem of a self‐financing retailer who periodically replenishes its stock from a supplier and sells it to the market. The replenishment decisions of the retailer are constrained by cash flow, which is updated periodically following purchasing and sales in each period. Excess demand in each period is lost when insufficient inventory is in stock. The retailer's objective is to maximize its expected terminal wealth at the end of the planning horizon. We characterize the optimal inventory control policy and present a simple algorithm for computing the optimal policies for each period. Conditions are identified under which the optimal control policies are identical across periods. We also present comparative statics results on the optimal control policy. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2008     

MUOS网络管理与控制技术的研究

介绍了美军移动用户目标系统MUOS(Mobile User Objective System),分析和总结了该系统下网络管理体系结构和运行机制,并就其实现中的关键技术进行了深入研究,得到了一些对我国有借鉴意义的结论。     

层次式网络管理系统故障管理子系统研究与实现

计算机网络日益复杂和异构化，迫切需要提高可靠、跨平台的网络管理系统保证网络稳定、高效运行。分析了传统网络管理系统的不足，提出了一层次分布式网络管理系统故障管理算法，并讨论了算法的性能。最后采用ＣＯＲＢＡ，Ｗｅｂ和Ｊａｖａ技术实现了该算法。     

基于ADAMS和Matlab的大口径舰炮发射系统动力学仿真

利用ADAMS和Matlab/Simulink两大软件的信息交互功能,将ADAMS中的全炮动力学仿真模型生成ADAMS_SUB模块,并将其嵌入联合后坐系统仿真模型中;通过ADAMS和 Matlab/Simulink同步运行对全炮进行发射动力学联合仿真,模拟大口径舰炮发射的全过程,分析全炮的动态响应.对全炮发射动力学联合仿真结果进行后处理分析,观察炮口扰动曲线,进行稳定性分析和炮口扰动分析.根据分析结果,对所建模型及仿真模块进行评价,结果表明,仿真结果与靶场试验数据基本吻合,为物理样机的研制提供了重要的理论参考依据.     

面向应急管理计算实验的模型构建和模型管理

基于人工社会的计算实验使应急管理的定量分析与研究成为可能。然而,应急管理模型涉及多个学科与领域,具有多层次、非线性和多粒度等特点,需要一套规范的流程来指导人工社会的模型建立和模型管理。论文梳理了面向应急管理的模型体系,提出了基于领域特定建模的人工社会建模方法,解决了多领域建模问题;研究了模型的形式化描述与编码问题,并实现了模型的有效管理;结合"甲型H1N1"病程模型,详细论述了模型的构建方法与管理问题,为面向应急管理的计算实验提供一体化的模型服务。